Cost-Sensitive Predictive Business Process Monitoring

Käppel M, Jablonski S, Schönig S (2021)


Publication Language: English

Publication Type: Conference contribution, Conference Contribution

Publication year: 2021

Publisher: Springer

Series: Communications in Computer and Information Science

City/Town: Cham

Book Volume: 1450

Pages Range: 14-26

Conference Proceedings Title: New Trends in Database and Information Systems ADBIS 2021 Short Papers, Doctoral Consortium and Workshops: DOING, SIMPDA, MADEISD, MegaData, CAoNS, Tartu, Estonia, August 24-26, 2021, Proceedings

Event location: Tartu EE

ISBN: 978-3-030-85081-4

URI: https://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007/978-3-030-85082-1_2

DOI: 10.1007/978-3-030-85082-1_2

Abstract

In predictive business process monitoring current and historical process data from event logs is used to predict the evolvement of running process instances. A wide number of machine learning approaches, especially different types of artificial neural networks, are successfully applied for this task. Nevertheless, experimental studies revealed that the resulting predictive models are not able to properly predict non-frequent activities. In this paper we investigate the usefulness of the concept of cost-sensitive learning, which introduces a cost model for different activities to better represent them in the training phase. An evaluation of this concept applied to common predictive monitoring approaches on various real life event logs shows encouraging results.

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How to cite

APA:

Käppel, M., Jablonski, S., & Schönig, S. (2021). Cost-Sensitive Predictive Business Process Monitoring. In Bellatreche, Ladjel Dumas, Marlon Karras, Panagiotis Matulevičius, Raimundas Awad, Ahmed Weidlich, Matthias Ivanović, Mirjana Hartig, Olaf (Eds.), New Trends in Database and Information Systems ADBIS 2021 Short Papers, Doctoral Consortium and Workshops: DOING, SIMPDA, MADEISD, MegaData, CAoNS, Tartu, Estonia, August 24-26, 2021, Proceedings (pp. 14-26). Tartu, EE: Cham: Springer.

MLA:

Käppel, Martin, Stefan Jablonski, and Stefan Schönig. "Cost-Sensitive Predictive Business Process Monitoring." Proceedings of the European Conference on Advances in Databases and Information Systems, Tartu Ed. Bellatreche, Ladjel Dumas, Marlon Karras, Panagiotis Matulevičius, Raimundas Awad, Ahmed Weidlich, Matthias Ivanović, Mirjana Hartig, Olaf, Cham: Springer, 2021. 14-26.

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