The effects of productivity and benefits on unemployment: Breaking the link

Brown AJ, Kohlbrecher B, Merkl C, Snower DJ (2021)


Publication Type: Journal article

Publication year: 2021

Journal

DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2020.02.037

Abstract

In the standard macroeconomic search and matching model of the labor market, there is a tight link between the quantitative effects of (i) aggregate productivity shocks on unemployment and (ii) unemployment benefits on unemployment. This tight link is at odds with the empirical literature. We show that a two-sided model of labor market search where the household and firm decisions are decomposed into job offers, job acceptances, firing, and quits can break this link. In such a model, unemployment benefits affect households' behavior directly, without having to run via the bargained wage. A calibration of the model based on U.S. JOLTS data generates both a solid amplification of productivity shocks and a moderate effect of benefits on unemployment. Our analysis shows the importance of investigating the effects of policies on the households' work incentives and the firms' employment incentives within the search process.

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APA:

Brown, A.J., Kohlbrecher, B., Merkl, C., & Snower, D.J. (2021). The effects of productivity and benefits on unemployment: Breaking the link. Economic Modelling. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2020.02.037

MLA:

Brown, Alessio J.G., et al. "The effects of productivity and benefits on unemployment: Breaking the link." Economic Modelling (2021).

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