TWO RECONSTRUCTIONS OF AUGUST-JULY PRECIPITATION FOR CENTRAL NORTHERN ARIZONA FROM TREE RINGS

Fletcher T, Touchan R, Lepley K, Rouini N, Bloye R, Tremarelli TS, PEÑA K, Meko DM (2019)


Publication Type: Journal article

Publication year: 2019

Journal

Book Volume: 75

Pages Range: 116-126

Journal Issue: 2

DOI: 10.3959/1536-1098-75.2.116

Abstract

This study reports two multi-century regional reconstructions of annual precipitation based on Pinus ponderosa and P. edulis from four sites in central northern Arizona. It compares standard regional and time-nested methods to generate reconstructions from 1581-2016 C.E. and 1529-2016 C.E., respectively. The strongest climate relationship is a positive correlation between total ring width and 12-month total precipitation ending in July of the growth year. The chronologies account for 50% of the variance of observed annual precipitation in the regional model and 59%, 60%, and 47% and 35% in the nested models. The two reconstructions are highly correlated (Pearson's correlation r > 0.97, p < 0.001) demonstrating that the reconstructions are highly similar over the period common to both reconstructions, with the nested-model's advantage of extending the range of the reconstruction. The precipitation reconstructions are significantly correlated (r = 0.66, p < 0.001) with the North American Drought Atlas (NADA).

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APA:

Fletcher, T., Touchan, R., Lepley, K., Rouini, N., Bloye, R., Tremarelli, T.S.,... Meko, D.M. (2019). TWO RECONSTRUCTIONS OF AUGUST-JULY PRECIPITATION FOR CENTRAL NORTHERN ARIZONA FROM TREE RINGS. Tree-Ring Research, 75(2), 116-126. https://dx.doi.org/10.3959/1536-1098-75.2.116

MLA:

Fletcher, Tamara, et al. "TWO RECONSTRUCTIONS OF AUGUST-JULY PRECIPITATION FOR CENTRAL NORTHERN ARIZONA FROM TREE RINGS." Tree-Ring Research 75.2 (2019): 116-126.

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