Development scenarios for the North and Baltic Seas Grid - A welfare economic analysis

Egerer J, Kunz F, Hirschhausen Cv (2013)

Publication Status: Published

Publication Type: Journal article

Publication year: 2013



Book Volume: 27

Pages Range: 123-134

DOI: 10.1016/j.jup.2013.10.002


The North and Baltic Seas Grid is one of the largest pan-European infrastructure projects, increasing the potential of harnessing large amounts of renewable energy. This paper addresses the economic implications of different development scenarios of the North and Baltic Seas Grid on individual countries and stakeholders which may raise concerns about the implementation in largely nationally dominated regulatory regimes. The paper develops three scenarios and quantifies the technical-economic effects: i) the status quo, in which engagement in the North and Baltic Seas is largely nationally driven; ii) a trade scenario dominated by bilateral contracts and point-to-point connections; and iii) a meshed network scenario of fully interconnected cables crossing both the North Sea and the Baltic Seas making a truly pan-European infrastructure. We find that in terms of overall welfare, the meshed solution is superior; however, from a distributional perspective there are losers in such a scheme, namely the incumbent electricity generating firms in France, Germany, and Poland, as well as the consumers in low-price countries, e.g. Norway and Sweden. Merchant transmission financing, based on congestion rents only, does not seem to be a sustainable option to provide sufficient network capacities, and authorities will need to mandate the investment in order for it to be made. We also find strong interdependencies between offshore grid expansion and the subsequent onshore network. (C) 2013 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

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Egerer, J., Kunz, F., & Hirschhausen, C.v. (2013). Development scenarios for the North and Baltic Seas Grid - A welfare economic analysis. Utilities Policy, 27, 123-134.


Egerer, Jonas, Friedrich Kunz, and Christian von Hirschhausen. "Development scenarios for the North and Baltic Seas Grid - A welfare economic analysis." Utilities Policy 27 (2013): 123-134.

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