Deliberation and confidence change

Heinzelmann N, Hartmann S (2022)


Publication Language: English

Publication Type: Journal article

Publication year: 2022

Journal

Book Volume: 200

Pages Range: 1-13

URI: https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11229-022-03584-3#citeas

DOI: 10.1007/s11229-022-03584-3

Open Access Link: https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11229-022-03584-3

Abstract

We argue that social deliberation may increase an agent’s confidence and credence under certain circumstances. An agent considers a proposition H and assigns a probability to it. However, she is not fully confident that she herself is reliable in this assignment. She then endorses H during deliberation with another person, expecting him to raise serious objections. To her surprise, however, the other person does not raise any objections to H. How should her attitudes toward H change? It seems plausible that she should (i) increase the credence she assigns to H and, at the same time, (ii) increase the reliability she assigns to herself concerning H (i.e. her confidence). A Bayesian model helps us to investigate under what conditions, if any, this is rational.

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How to cite

APA:

Heinzelmann, N., & Hartmann, S. (2022). Deliberation and confidence change. Synthese, 200, 1-13. https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11229-022-03584-3

MLA:

Heinzelmann, Nora, and Stephan Hartmann. "Deliberation and confidence change." Synthese 200 (2022): 1-13.

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