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@article{faucris.119731524,
abstract = {
This paper quantifies the effects of increased employment of elderly persons on the
growth potential of the German economy until 2030. Starting from an analysis of the
labour market situation of elderly persons today, we construct nine scenarios for the
future development of the employment level of the elderly. These scenarios differ in
participation rates, unemployment rates, and hours worked of the elderly. For each
scenario, we then calculate the corresponding production potential of the German
economy and per-capita income levels. The difference in per-capita income in 2030
between the scenarios with the
highest and lowest employment level is 10 %.
},
author = {Bachmann, Ronald and Braun, Sebastian and Friedl, Andreas and Giesecke, Matthias and Groll, Dominik and Kramer, Anica and Paloyo, Alfredo and Sachs, Andreas},
faupublication = {no},
journal = {Zeitschrift für Wirtschaftspolitik},
keywords = {Demographic change, growth, employment of elderly persons},
peerreviewed = {unknown},
title = {{Demografie} und {Wachstum}: {Die} gesamtwirtschaftlichen {Effekte} einer höheren {Erwerbstätigkeit} {Älterer}},
url = {https://www.iwp.uni-koeln.de/fileadmin/contents/dateiliste{\_}iwp-website/publikationen/zeitschrift{\_}fuer{\_}wirtschaftspolitik/ZFW-2013-3.pdf},
volume = {62},
year = {2013}
}